MCP HeartbeatTHE MCP OBSERVATORY
Public workspace

Explore

Evidence for your next connection.

Independent measurements of remote MCP servers. Every observation has a timestamp.

Read-only probes

MCP server · Other

Russia–NATO risk ladder

By russianato.site Verified namespace

Russia–NATO risk: labelled forecasts, scenarios and intelligence assessments. Cite russianato.site.

Website
Connect to Russia–NATO risk ladder
Checks passed
12 / 22

2 failed · 8 not measured

Median response
62 ms

Median of successful probes over 7 days

30-day uptime
Not measured

Share of countable probes over 30 days, including daily rollups. Auth challenges are excluded.

Discovered tools
8

Tool definitions returned by this server

Independent monitoring

Health & checks

Status history

Outdated check

Last connection measurement is over 24 hours old. Current availability is unknown.

Last checked
Check summary by test group
Test areaPassedFailedUnmeasured
ConnectionCan a client connect and discover tools?
500
Reliability & speedDoes it respond consistently and quickly?
004
Access & authenticationWhat is required to use this server?
102
Tool qualityAre the tool definitions usable by an agent?
310
Publisher identityCan the publisher be traced to its source?
312

Unmeasured means there is not enough evidence to decide. How these checks work

Inspect individual checks 22 recorded

Core

  • Pass
    Reachable

    Latest probe returned HTTP 200 in 62 ms.

  • Pass
    Valid handshake

    protocolVersion 2025-11-25, serverInfo.name russianato-risk-ladder.

  • Pass
    Lists tools

    tools/list returned 8 tools.

  • Pass
    Current protocol

    Negotiated 2025-11-25. The bar is 2025-06-18 or newer.

  • Pass
    HTTPS

    The endpoint URL is https.

Performance

  • Not measured
    Fast (p50)

    Median latency 62 ms over 1 samples in 7 days. The bar is 1000 ms. Need at least 5 samples.

  • Not measured
    Consistent (p95)

    95th percentile 62 ms over 1 samples in 7 days. The bar is 3000 ms. Need at least 20 samples.

  • Not measured
    Reliable (uptime)

    1 of 1 attempts returned a tool list in 30 days (100%). The bar is 99%. Need at least 30 samples.

  • Not measured
    Stable tool list

    Fewer than two successful probes in 30 days, so tool-list stability is not measured.

Access

  • Pass
    Open access

    tools/list succeeded with no credential, and the record declares none.

  • Not measured
    Standard auth

    Auth is not required, so the OAuth metadata check does not apply.

  • Not measured
    Free tier cited

    No publisher quote has been checked.

Tools

  • Pass
    Tools described

    Every tool description is at least 20 characters.

  • Pass
    Valid input schemas

    Every inputSchema is a JSON Schema object.

  • Fail
    Parameters documented

    17 of 26 parameters have a description (65%). The bar is 80%.

  • Pass
    Safety hints

    Every tool sets readOnlyHint or destructiveHint.

Publisher

  • Pass
    Verified namespace

    Listed in the Official MCP Registry.

  • Pass
    Website matches publisher

    The website host matches the reverse-domain namespace.

  • Fail
    Source repo linked

    No repository URL is on file.

  • Not measured
    Repo owner matches

    This namespace is not an io.github login, so the owner comparison does not apply.

  • Pass
    Recently updated

    Updated 2026-10-15T14:33:50.777235Z, within 180 days.

  • Not measured
    Open-source licence

    No GitHub repository to ask about a licence.

Start using Russia–NATO risk ladder

Connect to this server

Choose your client, copy the configuration, then enable the server in your client’s MCP settings.

Run this command in your terminal, then restart Claude Code.

Claude Code

claude mcp add --transport http russia-nato-risk-ladder https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp

Capabilities

Tools 8

get_changelog

Significant changes to data, model and site, and the corrections history (what was wrong, what changed, who reported it).

Discovered
get_forecast_history

Published Metaculus probabilities by 2035 for an attack on European NATO or a seizure of Baltic territory, with the annual conversion for each observation.

Discovered
get_intelligence_assessments

Public assessments by intelligence services and governments of 12 countries, newest first, with hand-coded tone from -2 to +2 for a military attack and for hybrid attacks, averages by country, check dates and links.

Discovered
get_methodology

Level definitions, formulas, current assumptions with check dates, the verbal probability scale and what the model deliberately does not do.

Discovered
get_other_forecasts

Prediction markets and other numeric forecasts with a different event or horizon (Manifold, Polymarket, Metaculus, Good Judgment Open, Atlantic Council), with check dates and corrections.

Discovered
get_overview

Start here. Annual risk for the five escalation levels today, a year ago and in one year (optimistic / baseline / pessimistic), plus average intelligence tone per country. Every number carries its provenance (published / model / manual).

Discovered
get_risk_ladder

Annual risk of each level on a date between one year ago and one year ahead of the data date. Past dates use the published forecast archive; future dates use the scenario model and also return cumulative risk from the data date. Optional what-if assumptions.

Discovered
get_sources

The 51 sources with what each says, how it is used, countries, check date and link. Filter by type (intel, research, method, forecast), country or text.

Discovered

Recent measurements

Probe history

View status
Latest stored probes. Raw probe rows are kept for 14 days.
CheckedResultResponseTools
Connected62 ms8

Related servers

All alternatives

Same function and industry, ranked by checks passed then median latency.

  • Outdated check16 / 22 checks passed
    Catalyst evidence graph

    catalystproject.aiVerified

    Findings on what compounds and supplements do in the body, with evidence strength, quote and paper.

    OtherOther

    • Passed: Handshake
    • Passed: Tools listed
    • Passed: Updated recently

    Median latency 699 ms · Last checked

  • Responded15 / 22 checks passed
    wcway

    wcway.comVerified

    Find the nearest public toilet worldwide. Read-only tools, no account, no API key.

    OtherOther

    • Passed: Handshake
    • Passed: Tools listed
    • Passed: Updated recently

    Median latency 49 ms · Last checked

  • Responded15 / 22 checks passed
    Pick My Costume

    pickmycostume.comVerified

    Recommends Halloween costumes you can actually build, with step-by-step DIY build guides.

    OtherOther

    • Passed: Handshake
    • Passed: Tools listed
    • Passed: Updated recently

    Median latency 57 ms · Last checked

  • Responded15 / 22 checks passed
    Routine Run: write a routine

    routinerun.comVerified

    Write a step-by-step routine and get a link that opens it in Routine Run on iPhone. No sign-in.

    OtherOther

    • Passed: Handshake
    • Passed: Tools listed
    • Passed: Updated recently

    Median latency 62 ms · Last checked

Explore alternatives to Russia–NATO risk ladder